December 19, 2019
In
News
New
decades herald new fashions, technologies and generational change. At KPA Architects we think there will be big
changes for Perth property in the 2020’s.
Key
elements shaping the city in the next decade include a new generation of
seniors that want more from their housing; major infrastructure investments in
public transport and suburban centres; and the convergence of technology and
daily living. Here are some highlights.
Housing for Life
By mid-decade
more than 500,000 people will be aged over 65 in WA. This is a 40% increase on
current numbers and their housing needs will influence the broader market.
The biggest
challenge will be providing more opportunity for seniors to remain in areas
that they are familiar. This includes more compact housing with smart features
close to local amenities as well as modern care facilities. When this is achieved it will free up larger
homes for larger households and people with special needs.
However the market will demand more livable and adaptable housing designs – diverse and flexible housing options including dual-key and ancillary dwellings, and transformable spaces that can be easily adapted as use of buildings change.
‘Build to
rent’ should come of age in the next decade with large numbers of seniors
freeing up capital in the family home and choosing rental packages with
bundled services such as a laundry service, transport service, pharmacy
discounts, club memberships, travel and hire company alliances etc.
Continuity
of care will increasingly influence housing for ageing persons. Aged care
facilities will resemble hubs of activities to support people as they progress
through various stages of ageing.
Government funding for residential care will adopt a more consumer
directed care model. That is, funding will follow the consumer, not the
facility. This would open the industry up to a variety of new, more societally
integrated models of care that are able to accommodate a variety of patient
acuity levels either at home or in a facility depending on need.
Centres and
Transport Led Development
Big
investments in transport infrastructure and suburban activity centres in Perth
will dictate the location and design of most new developments in the next
decade. This is because the two most
important features influencing contemporary housing choices are public
transport and community amenities like café’s, restaurants and shops.
Perth’s
urban shape will increasingly resemble a pattern of mixed-use activity hubs with
connecting transport lines.
Currently
only a quarter of all new homes are units or apartments however this is likely
to grow strongly with the increasing popularity of strata titles in new
developments. Strata title lot already make up over 50% of new lot production in
WA. These will take shape in the next 10 years.
Sometime in
the next decade the take-up of on-line retailing is likely to plateau. At the same time the evolution of shopping
centres currently in full swing will be fully realised.
Centres in
the 2020’s will fall into two camps, large centres at the core of suburban
station and commercial precincts offering a town experience; and smaller
centres based around local convenience or niche activities.
Transport
will continue down the path of automation, with driverless public transport appearing
first. Parking shortages may lead to the
viability of automated car park stacking in congested centres. These
technologies will become very useful for a population that is ageing and new
transport options that are considered safe and reliable for the elderly will
prevail.
Internet of
Property Things
The
inevitable convergence of technology and daily living will increasingly shape
new buildings and places in the next decade.
Examples already in use include electronic monitoring systems to
amalgamate services in independent living and aged care buildings, which are
traditionally separated. Residents in connected complexes can directly
access services when needed without having to leave their home, such as
ordering dinner from the kitchen and having it delivered.
The system also monitors emergency and security controls, and building
equipment maintenance to identify malfunctions and issue work orders.
Buildings
and precincts will be planned and built to accommodate the increasing use of artificial
intelligence to perform services like healthcare, deliveries and cleaning.
‘Big data’ will have an increasing role in the operation of buildings and spaces. Information captured from sensors will drive the use and management of places. Real-time rating systems for buildings will also inform users of key information like environmental performance.
Image: KPA Architects, Casa Cabrini